Viktor Orbán’s Hungarian experiment runs out of steam

Viktor Orbán’s Hungarian Experiment Falters

Over 16 years in office, Viktor Orbán’s tenure was dubbed an “experiment,” though he himself hesitated to name it. While “illiberal democracy” felt too critical, his allies in the U.S. preferred “national conservatism,” a term that better suited his image but didn’t fully capture his approach. Orbán, unlike many conservatives, embraced a rebellious path, steadily evolving his ideology. The question remained: what exactly was he preserving?

He positioned himself as an “anti-globalist” yet welcomed German automakers and EV battery producers from China and South Korea to Hungary. While championing national sovereignty, he hesitated to defend Ukrainian independence from Russian aggression. Despite criticizing immigration, he subtly promoted migration from Sri Lanka, the Philippines, Ukraine, and Turkey to fuel industrial expansion. His policies often showcased contradictions, blurring lines between ideology and pragmatism.

Radicalizing the System

Orbán’s defiance of Brussels officials often put him at odds with them, yet he adeptly turned their resistance into a political asset. With a two-thirds parliamentary majority, he restructured the courts, electoral framework, and economy, reshaping Hungary to align with his party’s vision. The 2010 election victory marked the start of this transformation, culminating in a new constitution just a year later.

His rapid acceptance of defeat on Sunday night underscored his awareness of public perception. As a “majoritarian” democrat, he adhered to the principle that “the winner takes all,” a philosophy that shaped his governance. But the people’s verdict revealed a shift—Hungarians, weary of constant conflict, signaled they no longer wanted to be subjected to his transformative agenda.

Péter Magyar’s Victory

Magyar’s triumph hinged on his ability to resonate with a broader audience. By displaying the Hungarian flag at every rally and promoting an inclusive national message, he countered Orbán’s divisive strategies. The electorate, frustrated by widening wealth gaps and shrinking middle classes, sought stability over radical change. Orbán, though adept at winning battles, struggled to meet the demand for peace and consistency.

“Tonight we celebrate,” he told the huge crowds, dancing on the shores of the Danube. “But tomorrow, we start work.”