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Trump’s biggest wins and losses at Supreme Court, from sports to citizenship

Published July 1, 2026 · Updated July 1, 2026 · By Nancy Martin

Trump's Supreme Court Impact: Key Victories and Setbacks

Trump s biggest wins and losses - The U.S. Supreme Court's landmark ruling at the end of its term delivered a mixed bag for President Donald Trump, with both significant setbacks and notable successes. While the justices unanimously overturned his effort to redefine birthright citizenship, the decision left room for potential legislative action. This outcome, combined with other rulings, highlights the nuanced role of the judiciary in shaping Trump's policy agenda.

Birthright Citizenship: A Major Setback

The court's decision on June 30 marked a critical loss for Trump, who had sought to restrict automatic citizenship for individuals born in the United States to parents who are not citizens. The ruling, which invalidated the executive order he signed on his first day in office, centered on the constitutionality of his approach to immigration. Five of the nine justices agreed that the policy violated the Citizenship Clause of the Constitution, though Justice Brett Kavanaugh argued it breached a 1952 immigration law instead.

"The Supreme Court upheld Birthright Citizenship, which is too bad for our Country, but we can easily make it up in Congress through Legislation, with the support of the President, that has now been determined during this process," Trump asserted on Truth Social.

Despite the setback, Trump remains optimistic about influencing the issue through legislative channels. He would need to persuade at least one of the five justices who ruled against him on the constitutional grounds to accept a revised law as compliant with the 14th Amendment. This underscores the president's strategy of leveraging judicial rulings to push for congressional action.

Transgender Athletes: A Surprise Victory

In another pivotal decision on the same day, the court ruled that states may legally prohibit transgender girls and women from participating in female sports teams, sidestepping broader questions about sex discrimination. This outcome, which Trump hailed as a "BIG WIN," aligns with his 2024 campaign platform and his efforts to reshape federal policies on gender identity.

Trump's stance on transgender athletes has been a consistent policy focus, with his administration working to cut off funding for schools that allow transgender females to compete in girls' and women's sports. The Justice Department supported West Virginia and Idaho in defending their bans, but the court's majority chose to limit its scope, ruling only that such restrictions are permissible rather than mandatory. This decision preserves the status quo while giving states more flexibility to implement their own policies.

Money in Politics: A Conservative Favor

The Supreme Court also signaled a shift in campaign finance regulation, reversing a 25-year-old precedent that limited how wealthy donors could influence elections through political parties. The ruling, which followed a challenge by Vice President JD Vance and other Republicans, allows donors to bypass federal contribution caps by funneling funds through party channels. This change could boost the Republican Party's fundraising capabilities, particularly as Democratic candidates have historically relied less on party-backed donations.

"The opinion may marginally help Republicans, whose party arms have raised more money than Democratic party orgs," noted Rick Hasen, an election law professor at UCLA, on his Election Law Blog. "But in the longer term, we can expect more parity."

While the decision is seen as a short-term advantage for the GOP, experts caution that it may not resolve long-standing concerns about the influence of money in politics. The ruling reflects the court's conservative majority's preference for deregulation and expanded donor influence, which could reshape fundraising strategies for future elections.

Presidential Power and the FTC Decision

Trump celebrated a separate ruling on June 29, which granted him the authority to remove members of independent agencies like the Federal Trade Commission (FTC). The decision overturned a 90-year-old precedent, Humphrey's Executor v. United States, that previously required presidents to follow specific procedures when removing officials from regulatory bodies.

This victory allows Trump to exert greater control over agency leadership, reinforcing his vision of centralized executive power. Chief Justice John Roberts, who authored the majority opinion, emphasized that presidents must have the ability to trust their appointees, stating, "It is such an Honor to be the sitting President who won this Historic and Unprecedented Ruling, one of the most important decisions in the history of the court."

The ruling could have far-reaching implications for agencies such as the FTC, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, and the National Labor Relations Board. By enabling the removal of officials without congressional oversight, the decision strengthens Trump's ability to reshape regulatory frameworks to align with his policy goals.

Implications for Trump's Agenda

Together, these rulings reveal a strategic balance between judicial and legislative influence. While the court blocked two of Trump's most significant policy initiatives—birthright citizenship and campaign finance reforms—the president's support for state-level initiatives and executive authority remains intact. The decisions also highlight the court's role as a battleground for ideological battles, with its conservative majority advancing policies that prioritize deregulation, states' rights, and executive control.

For birthright citizenship, the ruling sets the stage for potential legislative action, as Trump's team argues the issue is not yet settled. The president's ability to rally congressional Republicans to amend the law hinges on public opinion and political pressure. Meanwhile, the transgender sports decision and the campaign finance ruling solidify his influence over key social and economic issues, providing him with leverage in upcoming elections.

Ultimately, these rulings demonstrate the Supreme Court's dual function as both a arbiter of constitutional law and a political actor. By upholding certain policies and overturning others, the court continues to shape the trajectory of Trump's presidency, ensuring that his impact extends beyond his term in office.